Thursday, July 20, 2017

OKP Update 2 and Investment Strategy Review

I was supposed to write this post earlier but too busy. After 2 days evaluation, I decided to sold all my OKP shares at 0.355 on 17 July 2017, which I bought them at 0.43 on 23 June 2017. I loss more than 1k in less than a month! I know I might sold OKP too early, as the investigation is still going on, I still don't want to hold my OKP shares anymore. 

After this transaction, I realized that the research I done before I purchase my shares are not comprehensive enough. I was not aware of the 2015 accident before I bought my shares, which I believed is a very big mistake. Before I purchased my shares, all I can found on Google News was OKP won contracts after contracts, and what I found on their 2015 and 2016 annual reports are the management team cares a lot about the workers' safety. OKP received many safety awards in the pass few years, which made me feel confident with its outlook. However, after the accident I am not that confident about their award winning ability anymore. I understand that OKP is a big road construction company in Singapore, but I am quite sure that Singapore don't have a lot of major road contracts as our land is too small. I strongly believed that if their reputation is good, OKP should expand to overseas market which can generate much more revenue. But now I am not so confident that they are able to win contracts outside Singapore. Even now the investigation is still going on, and the accident might not be OKP's fault, 2 major accidents within 3 years is too much and I think it might even destroy its reputation. I saw the medias are targeting OKP, which might make the situation more complicated. 

After this bad investment, I also did a review on my investment strategy. Is it sufficient enough and can bring my enough return with minimum risk? I found that lack of relevant industry knowledge makes my investment harder. I might miss out many important information from daily news and also the annual reports. Currently I only invest around 8% of my total portfolio in a single counter for most of my stocks, and most of them are in different industry, which should provide some protection to my investment. I shall not invest too much on any single counter as I lack of important relevant knowledge of the industry, so I am using a lot of "I think" when I am evaluating a company, which is no good. Imagine if I invest heavily in OKP, as it looks really good from its order book and annual reports, I will loss another 5 digits hard-earned money! 

Conclusion, bad investment in OKP is totally my fault as my research was not comprehensive enough, and I shall not invest heavily into any counter. Current plan is to slowly reduce my exposure to ComfortDelGro, SIA, and Keong Hong as I invested more than 10% of my total portfolio on each of them, which is not very good from my current point of view.

Thanks for reading.  




11 comments:

  1. i think u should reduce sia... sia revenue long term cmi

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    1. I was about to reduce at 10.7 but next day big drop. Now think on uptrend again (well my TA quite bad). I think their service is still quite good and now with more new planes the customer experience should be better than before (3 weeks ago I took SQ and it was B772.. so the cabin environment is really not good, but think new A350 should be alot better). But I understand that good experience does not equal to profit (only china airlines are able to profit in long term cuz they are monopoly in mainland, people got no choice but to pay 300+SGD for one way 2 hours trip unless they go take train). But anyway yeah I am going to reduce Comfort and SIA

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